James Thurlow

Peer-reviewed Books

• Climate Change Risks and Food Security in Bangladesh, with W. Yu, M. Alam, A. Hassan, A.S. Khan, A. Ruane, C. Rosenzweig and D.C. Major, EarthScan: London, United Kingdom. 2010.
• A New Era of Transformation in Ghana: Lessons from the Past and Scenarios for the Future, with C. Breisinger, X. Diao, R. Al-Hassan and S. Kolavalli, International Food Policy Research Institute: Washington DC. 2010.
• Social Accounting Matrices and Multiplier Analysis: An Introduction with Exercises, with C. Breisinger and M. Thomas, Food Security in Practice Technical Guide 5, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington D.C. 2009.
• The Role of Agriculture in Pro-Poor Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, with X. Diao, P. Hazell and D. Resnick, International Food Policy Research Institute: Washington DC. 2007.
• Agriculture and Achieving the Millennium Development Goals, with M. Rosegrant, C. Ringler, T. Benson, X. Diao, D. Resnick, M. Torero and D. Orden, World Bank, Washington D.C. 2005.

Peer-reviewed Book Chapters

• “Removing Agricultural Distortions: Implications for Mozambique”, with C. Arndt in K. Anderson, J. Cockburn and W. Martin (eds) Agricultural Price Distortions, Inequality and Poverty, World Bank: Washington D.C. 2010.
• “Agricultural distortions, poverty and inequality in South Africa”, with N. Hérault in K. Anderson, J. Cockburn and W. Martin (eds) Agricultural Price Distortions, Inequality and Poverty, World Bank: Washington D.C. 2010.
• “Documentation of Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) Development” with C. McCool and C. Arndt in C. Arndt and F. Tarp (eds.) Taxation in a Low-Income Economy: the Case of Mozambique, Routledge: New York. 2009.
• “Development Strategies, Macroeconomic Policies, and the Agricultural Sector in Zambia” with D. Resnick in P. Pinstrup-Andersen and F. Cheng (eds.) Food Policy for Developing Countries: The Role of Government in the Global Food System, Cornell University Press: New York. 2009.
• “The Role of Agriculture in Pro-Poor Growth: Lessons from Zambia”, with P. Wobst in M. Grimm, S. Klasen and A. McKay (eds) The Analytical Foundations of Pro-Poor Growth: Evidence from Country Cases, Palgrave: United Kingdom. 2006.
• “Globalization and the Location of Industry: Can Trade Liberalization Change What’s Wrong with Durban?” in A. Boullon, B. Fruend, D. Hindson and B. Lootvoet (eds) Governance, Urban Dynamics and Economic Development: a Comparative Analysis of Metropolitan Areas, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement: Paris, France. 2002.

Peer-reviewed Journal Articles

• “The Economic Costs of Extreme Weather Events: A Hydro-Meteorological CGE Analysis for Malawi”, with K. Pauw, M. Bachu and D.E. van Seventer, Environment and Development Economics, forthcoming.
• “Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Water Management in South Africa: CGE Analyses of Selected Policy Regimes”, with R. Hassan, Agricultural Economics, forthcoming.
• “Formal-Informal Sector Linkages and Unemployment in South Africa”, with R. Davies, South African Journal of Economics, forthcoming.
• “Impacts of a Green Revolution in Africa – The Case of Ghana”, with C. Breisinger and X. Diao. Journal of International Development, forthcoming.
• “The Role of Agriculture in African Development”, with X. Diao and P. Hazell, World Development 2010, 38(10), 1375-1383.
• “Biofuels, growth and poverty: a computable general equilibrium analysis for Mozambique”, with C. Arndt, R. Benefica, F. Tarp and R. Uaiene, Environment and Development Economics 2010, 15(1), 81-105.
• “Modeling Growth Options and Structural Change to Reach Middle Income Country Status: The Case of Ghana”, with C. Breisinger and X. Diao, Economic Modeling 2009, 26(2), 514-525.
• “HIV/AIDS, growth and poverty in KwaZulu-Natal and South Africa: An integrated survey, demographic analysis, and economywide model”, with G. George and J. Gow, Journal of the International AIDS Society 2009, 12(September).
• “Higher fuel and food prices: impacts and responses for Mozambique”, with C. Arndt, R. Benfica, N. Maximiano and A. Nucifora, Agricultural Economics 2008, 39, 497-511.
• “Economic and household-level impact of HIV/AIDS in Botswana”, with K. Jefferis, A. Kinghorn and H. Siphambe, AIDS 2008, 22, 113-119.
• “Trade Liberalization and Pro-Poor Growth in South Africa”, Studies in Economics and Econometrics 2007, 3(2), 161-179.
• “Not All Growth is Equally Good for the Poor: The Case of Zambia”, with P. Wobst, Journal of African Economies 2006, 15(4), 603-625.
• “The Impact of the EU-SA FTA on Selected COMESA Countries”, with M. Holden, South African Journal of Economics 2002, 73(3), 133-144.

Technical Papers, Policy Briefs, etc

• Adapting to Climate Change: An Integrated Biophysical and Economic Assessment for Mozambique, WIDER Working Paper Volume 2010/101
• Are Biofuels Good for African Development? An Analytical Framework with Evidence from Mozambique and Tanzania, WIDER Working Paper Volume 2010/110
• Gender Implications of Biofuels Expansion: A CGE Analysis for Mozambique, WIDER Working Paper Volume 2010/110
• Impact of the Global Commodity and Financial Crises on Poverty in Vietnam, WIDER Working Paper Volume 2010/98
• Poverty Reduction and Economic Structure: Comparative Path Analysis for Mozambique and Vietnam, WIDER Working Paper Volume 2010/122
• “ A 2007 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for Vietnam”, with C. Arndt, A. Garcia, H. Ha Pham, C. McCool, S. McCoy and F. Tarp, Central Institute for Economic Management, Hanoi, Vietnam. 2010
• “A Recursive Dynamic CGE Model and Micro-simulation Poverty Model for South Africa”, with van D.E. van Seventer, Working Paper 1, Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies, Pretoria, South Africa. 2008.
• “A 2003 Social Accounting Matrix for Kenya”, with J. Kiringai and B. Wanjala, Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis, Nairobi, Kenya. 2006.
• “South Africa Social Accounting Matrices: 1993 and 2000”, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington D.C. 2005.
• “Zambia Social Accounting Matrix: 2001”, with D. Evans and S. Robinson, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington D.C. 2005.
• “A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model for South Africa: Extending the Static IFPRI Model”, Working Paper 1, Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies, Pretoria, South Africa. 2004.
• “Poverty-focused Social Accounting Matrices for Tanzania”, with P. Wobst, Trade and Macroeconomics Discussion Paper 112, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington D.C. 2003.
• “A Standard Computable General Equilibrium Model for South Africa”, with D.E. van Seventer, Trade and Macroeconomics Discussion Paper 100, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington D.C. 2002.

Other Publications (Conference Proceedings, etc)

• “Implications of Accelerated Agricultural Growth on Poverty in Ethiopia: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis” with P. Dorosh, Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on the Ethiopian Economy, Ethiopian Economics Association, forthcoming.
• “Economywide Impacts of Climate Variability and Change in Bangladesh”, with P. Dorosh, input paper to World Bank report “Implications of Climate Change Risks on Food Security in Bangladesh”, Washington D.C. 2009.
• “The Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Economic Growth and Poverty in Zambia”, with T. Zhu and X. Diao, Discussion paper 890, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington D.C. 2009.
• “Agricultural Growth and Investment Options for Poverty Reduction in Uganda”, with S. Benin, X. Diao, A. Kebba and N. Ofwono, Discussion paper 790, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington D.C. 2008.
• “Prospects for Growth and Poverty-Reduction in Zambia, 2001-2015”, with H. Lofgren and S. Robinson in World Bank. Zambia: Country Economic Memorandum, Washington DC. 2004.
• “Can South Africa Afford to Become Africa’s First Welfare State?”, Trade and Macroeconomics discussion paper 139, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington D.C. 2002.

• Development under Climate Change
• New Directions in Development Economics